Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.250756 0.268288 0.286832 0.307971 0.331486 0.356933 0.386681
2025-03-30 0.215523 0.241378 0.270669 0.306650 0.350135 0.401626 0.468188
2025-04-06 0.187964 0.217238 0.252039 0.297184 0.355313 0.429294 0.533459
2025-04-13 0.167727 0.198364 0.236113 0.287171 0.356295 0.449656 0.591184
2025-04-20 0.157159 0.189765 0.231277 0.289661 0.372615 0.491500 0.686168
2025-04-27 0.149768 0.184190 0.229313 0.295083 0.392872 0.541333 0.804289
2025-05-04 0.142103 0.177399 0.224795 0.295979 0.406039 0.581911 0.917000
2025-05-11 0.134513 0.170007 0.218629 0.293530 0.413305 0.613594 1.021830
2025-05-18 0.127593 0.162982 0.212309 0.290007 0.418065 0.641333 1.126686
2025-05-25 0.120468 0.155180 0.204236 0.282906 0.415814 0.655776 1.207375
2025-06-01 0.114946 0.149310 0.198548 0.278958 0.418291 0.679219 1.316373
2025-06-08 0.110309 0.144432 0.193975 0.276316 0.422589 0.706738 1.445545
2025-06-15 0.107818 0.142660 0.194139 0.281736 0.442720 0.771891 1.710056
2025-06-22 0.103243 0.137586 0.188938 0.277758 0.444938 0.799669 1.883422
2025-06-29 0.097895 0.131099 0.181160 0.268729 0.436344 0.801521 1.976013
2025-07-06 0.092985 0.125060 0.173770 0.259836 0.427062 0.800238 2.059433
2025-07-13 0.090762 0.123012 0.172630 0.261905 0.440201 0.856315 2.397780
2025-07-20 0.089212 0.121910 0.172928 0.266552 0.459307 0.932676 2.895210
2025-07-27 0.087012 0.119679 0.171220 0.267316 0.470128 0.989903 3.372068
2025-08-03 0.084423 0.116720 0.168127 0.265205 0.474259 1.029367 3.807340
2025-08-10 0.081833 0.113650 0.164692 0.262168 0.475900 1.062071 4.253296
2025-08-17 0.078856 0.109852 0.159839 0.256042 0.469622 1.068801 4.538056
2025-08-24 0.076514 0.106996 0.156478 0.252631 0.469472 1.095673 5.031280